Bank Indonesia (BI) expects that advancing industrial downstreaming and expanding export diversification will be key to maintaining Indonesia’s current account resilience through 2026, even amid challenges such as export commodity pressure and import needs for investment. The shift in export composition shows a growing share of value-added industrial goods — including metal and chemical products — contributing to trade surplus and strengthening external balances. BI also highlights the importance of widening export destinations beyond traditional partners to support diversification and long-term competitiveness.

BI projects a manageable current account deficit of around 0.1% to 0.9% of GDP in 2026 and forecasts continued external stability into 2027. Complementing export strategy, domestic policies that encourage import substitution and local production, such as higher local content requirements in sectors like electric vehicles, should help reduce reliance on imports over time. These combined efforts signal optimism that Indonesia will uphold a stable external position while supporting economic growth.
Source: https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5402978/bi-yakin-hilirisasi-diversifikasi-ekspor-jaga-transaksi-berjalan-2026